The Third Day of Light. My 69th birthday. Tropical disturbances in this year of record-setting heat are already aligning for the chance to become a hurricane.
Each of these storms currently has less than a 40% chance of forming a hurricane, but don't underestimate their determination. The one furthest north - the one just east of the Bahamas - is probably on the wrong side of the Gulf Stream and even if it does form into a hurricane, the current will probably deflect it from the North American shore and redirect it toward the frigid North Atlantic.
That other one to the south - the one just north of Venezuela - has me more worried. It will probably drift westward into the Carribean where the warm waters will allow it to strengthen into a hurricane. From there, it may continue west into Central America, or drift north across Cuba and into the Gulf of Mexico. That's the most dangerous of all situations (at least for me), as once in the Gulf it will almost assuredly strike the United States - the only question is will it land in Texas, Florida, or the Gulf Coast. The latter has the greatest likelihood of continuing on to Atlanta.
The third disturbance off the coast of Africa could do anything - it might just peter out on its own, it might form a hurricane but get turned away by the Gulf Stream, or it might sneak past that barrier and strike somewhere in North America.
My health continues to improve but I'm still not 100% yet. Doctor's appointment tomorrow. I'm taking it day by day.
No comments:
Post a Comment