Tuesday, November 09, 2021

Blah, Blah, Blah

 


Today is the day for the faculty of belief, for with it do not blindly follow the words of others.

Yesterday, the average number of new covid cases reported in Georgia fell to 752, a 32% decrease from the previous day's reported 1,104 cases.  It is the first time covid cases were that low since July 13th.  In fact, since April 7, 2020, the average number of new covid cases has been below 750 only between April 23 and June 13, 2020, and between May 19 and July 13, 2021.

The overnight drop in caseloads may simply represent a data anomaly, and there's no reason not to suspect that they might jump right back up to the 1,000 level tomorrow.  However, the 752 mark represents the level the daily caseloads would be expected to be if the previous downward trend observed in September and October had not stalled out two weeks ago.  In other words, if one were to extrapolate the September-October trend line out to today, it would be at right about 750 cases.  

So is the sudden decrease the aberration, or was the two-week "plateau" in the graph some extenuating factor on top of the otherwise downward trend?  To be sure, no one really knows, but time will tell.

Meanwhile, all is quiet out in the Atlantic.  Tropical Storm Wanda fizzled out before reaching the green shores of Ireland, and that funky disturbance off the coast of Cape Hatteras somehow resolved itself.  The National Hurricane Center is not expecting any hurricane activity anywhere in the Atlantic for the next 48 hours as we sneak through the last several weeks of the 2021 hurricane season.  

As for climate change in general, the outlook is still bleak if not outright apocalyptic.  We're doomed and we're all gonna die (impermanence is swift), but that doesn't mean that in the meantime we can't have a little fun with the COP26 proceedings.

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