Through the Thin Words, 53rd Day of Midsommar, 526 M.E. (Aldebaran): I'm well aware that I talk about weather way to much on this blog, but how else to document the death throes of our planet in this age of climate change and global warming?
Plus I'm outside walking for several hours every other day, so there's that to consider, too. These are the times, and this is my record of the times, etc.
But having said all that, right now western Europe is suffering through a significant heat wave, with forecasts of triple‑digit highs (in degrees Fahrenheit) and unprecedented nighttime lows breaking records in France, the UK, and beyond. The heat wave’s severity could approach that of August 2003, which caused nearly 15,000 deaths in France. More than 100 all‑time temperature records have already been broken in France, including a 111.7° F reading at Le Blanc. Paris is forecast to see daily highs at or above 100 °F and an unprecedented number of heat‑wave alerts have already been issued across the rest of the country.
The UK expects June’s all‑time high temperature, set 50 years ago, to be broken, marking the first time since 1911 that two consecutive months recorded record‑breaking highs. London is forecast to reach the mid‑90s on Tuesday and Wednesday before cooling later in the week.
But back here in normally sweaty, sweltering Atlanta, Georgia, things are quite different. A cold front passed through last night, and yesterday's humidity is gone. Today reached a high of only 79° F, with a moderate humidity of 55% and a comfortable dew point of 59°. Aldebaran is a sitting day, and I'm hoping that the pleasant conditions continue through tomorrow's walking day.
Last week, NOAA confirmed the formation of an El Niño in the tropical Pacific and has issued an official advisory. Forecasters expect it to strengthen through the winter of 2026–27, with a 63% chance it will reach the “very strong,” or "Super El Niño," threshold, placing it among the strongest events dating back to 1950. In a world already experiencing record heat, such an event could bring more dangerous extremes: drought, wildfires, and flooding, and in the Pacific, a more active hurricane season.
It's worth remembering that in 1877, North America experienced an unusually mild winter. It was known as the “year without a winter.” The mild temperatures coincided with one of the strongest El Niño events ever recorded. That El Niño was a major factor in one of the worst environmental disasters in history. Much of the world was enveloped in drought, and harvests failed in India, China, parts of Africa, and Brazil. The drought led to the “Great Famine” which killed between 30 and 60 million people, about 3% of the world’s population at the time.
As Terry Garcia, a former deputy administrator of NOAA, writes in The Guardian, what distinguishes us from the victims of 1877 is not luck, but data. Today we have the Ocean Observatories Initiative, a network that delivers real-time ocean data from more than 900 sensors. The lead time that modern monitoring and forecasting system provides can save thousands of lives and billions of dollars each year. Today, we can anticipate climate shocks before they arrive.
Alert readers will recall that the Stable Genius had tried to dismantle the network. Pulling the sensors was not a budgetary exercise. The actions are more properly viewed as an extension of the Stable Genius' broader assault on federal climate science. The objective is apparently to weaken the programs that measure climate change and then claim the problem is “uncertain”. But as Garcia points out, turning off the alarm does not put out the fire.
In a rare display of bipartisan unity, the Senate unanimously passed a bill to prohibit the use of federal funds to dismantle the network until a thorough review is conducted. Last week, it was announced that the removal would be stopped, the system allowed to keep running, and that the sensors that had already been pulled out of the water would be redeployed.
The reckless actions have been paused, but the network’s future is still to be decided by some as-of-yet-unconvened panel. Some sensors have already been removed, and data streams have been interrupted. Their redeployment after removal is not equivalent to uninterrupted operation.
But the system has been spared, for now. Garcia recommends Congress write protections for the system into law, so the instruments we rely on to understand the ocean are not at the mercy of an election outcome.
The ocean stores most of the excess heat that shapes storms, marine heatwaves, and climate shocks, such as El Niño events. We came far too close to throwing it away.

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