Day of the Boar, 43rd of Spring, 526 M.E. (Betelgeuse): Climate models indicate a strong likelihood (around 62%) that El Niño conditions will develop this year, with a significant chance of intensifying into a rare “super” El Niño event. Such events, defined by sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding ~2°C in the central and eastern Pacific, have historically driven severe climate disruptions.

A strong El Niño can shift atmospheric circulation, intensifying extreme weather and causing severe drought and heat across Australia, and parts of Africa, India, and the Amazon. Extreme rainfall and  increased flood risk may occur here in the southern U.S. and in parts of Asia.

Already, a dangerous super typhoon has formed in the Pacific and is expected to make landfall on Tuesday in the Northern Mariana Islands, bringing destructive winds, widespread heavy rain, and flooding. The tropical typhoon was producing sustained winds of 173 mph today. While it is expected to weaken slightly over the next few days, the storm will probably cross the islands as a category 4 or 5 typhoon.

Although no hurricanes made landfall in the U.S. last year, the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season was distinguished by three Category 5 hurricanes - the second-highest total since 2005. And that was without El Niño conditions.

I have a feeling this is going to be a very interesting summer.